The role of expertise in dynamic risk assessment: a reflection of the problem-solving strategies used by experienced fireground commanders

Okoli, Justin and Watt, John and Weller, Gordon and Wong, B. L. William (2016) The role of expertise in dynamic risk assessment: a reflection of the problem-solving strategies used by experienced fireground commanders. Risk Management, 18 (1). pp. 4-25. ISSN 1460-3799

[img]
Preview
PDF - Final accepted version (with author's formatting)
Download (710kB) | Preview

Abstract

Although the concept of dynamic risk assessment has in recent times become more topical in the training manuals of most high risk domains, only a few empirical studies have reported how experts actually carry out this crucial task. The knowledge gap between research and practice in this area therefore calls for more empirical investigation within the naturalistic environment. In this paper, we present and discuss the problem solving strategies employed by sixteen experienced operational firefighters using a qualitative knowledge elicitation tool — the critical decision method. Findings revealed that dynamic risk assessment is not merely a process of weighing the risks of a proposed course of action against its benefits, but rather an experiential and pattern recognition process. The paper concludes by discussing the implications of designing training curriculum for the less experienced officers using the elicited expert knowledge.

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: First online: 22 January 2016
Keywords (uncontrolled): Dynamic risk assessment; experts; firefighting; decision making; pattern recognition; training
Research Areas: A. > School of Science and Technology > Centre for Decision Analysis and Risk Management (DARM)
Item ID: 20273
Notes on copyright: This is a post-peer-review, pre-copyedit version of an article published in Risk Management. The definitive publisher-authenticated version, Okoli, J., Watt, J., Weller, G., & Wong, W. B. L. (2016). The role of expertise in dynamic risk assessment: A reflection of the problem-solving strategies used by experienced fireground commanders. Risk Manag (Bas), 18(1), 4–25. doi:10.1057/rm.2015.20 is available online at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/rm.2015.20
Useful Links:
Depositing User: John Watt
Date Deposited: 01 Aug 2016 11:13
Last Modified: 22 Jan 2017 04:04
URI: http://eprints.mdx.ac.uk/id/eprint/20273

Actions (login required)

Edit Item Edit Item

Full text downloads (NB count will be zero if no full text documents are attached to the record)

Downloads per month over the past year